Strong March Home Sales, Low Inventory Means Tougher Market for Buyers

RE/MAX National Housing Report on MLS Data from 53 Metro Areas

Denver, CO – April 14, 2017 (PRNewswire) March launched the home-buying season with post-recession records for increasing home sales and prices and decreasing inventory, according to this month’s RE/MAX National Housing Report that surveys 53 metro areas.

Last month, home sales were 6.6% higher than the nine-year-old report’s previous March record, set in 2016. Thirty-eight of the 53 metro areas in the report showed year-over-year increases.

REMAX Logo

Meanwhile, Months Supply of Inventory dropped below three months for the first time in the history of the report, indicating a market that greatly favors sellers, as six months is considered a balanced market.

Active inventory continued to decline, dropping 17% year-over-year. As a result, the Median Sales Price of $225,000—also a March record—was up 11% year-over-year. This was the 12th consecutive month of year-over-year price increases.

Homes continued selling faster last month, with the average Days on Market dropping to 64, compared to 68 in February 2017 and 71 in March 2016. For this month’s housing report infographic, click here.

REMAX National Housing Report April 2017 Infographic

“We expect a seasonal uptick in sales this time of year and March certainly met and somewhat exceeded that expectation,” said Dave Liniger, RE/MAX CEO, Chairman of the Board and Co-Founder. “We don’t anticipate the tightening inventory to ease up in most markets until new home construction can catch up to its pre-recession pace. Until then, sellers will enjoy a fast-paced market and buyers will need to work with their agents to get in the right home.”

Closed Transactions
Of the 53 metro areas surveyed in March 2017, the overall average number of home sales increased 6.6% compared to March 2016. Of the 53 metro areas, 38 experienced an increase in sales year-over-year, with 16 experiencing double-digit increases. The markets with the largest increase in sales included Richmond, VA +23.3%, Wilmington/Dover, DE +22.6%, Trenton, NJ +19.7%, Las Vegas, NV +15.3% and Chicago, IL +14.8%.

Median Sales Price – Median of 53 metro median prices
In March 2017, the median of all 53 metro Median Sales Prices was $225,000, up 7.1% from February 2017 and up 11.0% from March 2016. Only four metro areas saw year-over-year decreases, with 15 rising by double-digit percentages. The largest double-digit increases were seen in Manchester, NH +15.9%, Orlando, FL +13.7%, Charlotte, NC +13.3%, Trenton, NJ +12.8% and Nashville, TN +12.8%.

Days on Market – Average of 53 metro areas
The average Days on Market for homes sold in March 2017 was 64, down four days from the average in February 2017, and down seven days from the March 2016 average. The three metro areas with the lowest Days on Market were San Francisco, CA and Omaha, NE both at 27 and Denver, CO at 32. The highest Days on Market averages were in Augusta, ME at 159 and Burlington, VT at 118. Days on Market is the number of days between when a home is first listed in an MLS and a sales contract is signed.

Months Supply of Inventory – Average of 53 metro areas
The number of homes for sale in March 2017 was up 1.2% from February 2017, but down 17.0% from March 2016. Based on the rate of home sales in March, the Months Supply of Inventory was 2.7, compared to February 2017 at 3.6 and March 2016 at 3.2. This is the first time in the history of the RE/MAX National Housing Report that months supply has hit below 3.0. A 6.0-month supply indicates a market balanced equally between buyers and sellers. In March 2017, 52 of the 53 metro areas surveyed reported a months supply of less than 6.0, which is typically considered a seller’s market. At 6.3, Burlington, VT was the only metro area to see a months supply above 6.0, which is typically considered a buyer’s market. The markets with the lowest Months Supply of Inventory continued to be in the west, with Seattle, WA at 0.9, San Francisco, CA and Denver, CO both at 1.0.

Contact
For specific data in this report or to request an interview, please contact newsroom@remax.com.

About the RE/MAX Network:
RE/MAX was founded in 1973 by Dave and Gail Liniger, with an innovative, entrepreneurial culture affording its agents and franchisees the flexibility to operate their businesses with great independence. Over 110,000 agents provide RE/MAX a global reach of more than 100 countries and territories. Nobody sells more real estate than RE/MAX, when measured by residential transaction sides. RE/MAX, LLC, one of the world’s leading franchisors of real estate brokerage services, is a wholly-owned subsidiary of RMCO, LLC, which is controlled and managed by RE/MAX Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: RMAX). With a passion for the communities in which its agents live and work, RE/MAX is proud to have raised more than $150 million for Children’s Miracle Network Hospitals® and other charities. For more information about RE/MAX, to search home listings or find an agent in your community, please visit www.remax.com. For the latest news about RE/MAX, please visit www.remax.com/newsroom.

Description
The RE/MAX National Housing Report is distributed each month on or about the 15th. The first Report was distributed in August 2008. The Report is based on MLS data in approximately 53 metropolitan areas, includes all residential property types, and is not annualized. For maximum representation, many of the largest metro areas in the country are represented, and an attempt is made to include at least one metro from each state. Metro area definitions include the specific counties established by the U.S. Government’s Office of Management and Budget, with some exceptions.

Definitions
Transactions are the total number of closed residential transactions during the given month. Months Supply of Inventory is the total number of residential properties listed for sale at the end of the month (current inventory) divided by the number of sales contracts signed (pended) during the month. Where “pended” data is unavailable, this calculation is made using closed transactions. Days on Market is the number of days that pass from the time a property is listed until the property goes under contract for all residential properties sold during the month. Median Sales Price is the median of the median sales prices in each of the metro areas included in the survey.

MLS data is provided by contracted data aggregators, RE/MAX brokerages and regional offices. While MLS data is believed to be accurate, it cannot be guaranteed. MLS data is constantly being updated, making any analysis a snapshot at a particular time. Every month the RE/MAX National Housing Report re-calculates the previous period’s data to ensure accuracy over time. All raw data remains the intellectual property of each local MLS organization.

Tom Ferry Discusses What To Do When Inventory Is Low

Are you being resourceful when real estate inventory is low? We all know inventory is low in those bread and butter price points.

Don’t worry, because this is your opportunity to get creative and provide value to your clients!

On this week’s #TomFerryShow you’ll learn:

  • A proven letter to help your clients find their dream home
  • 4 ways to find more inventory
  • How to target specific areas in your community

Are you going to be resourceful?

Redfin: Home Prices Jumped in February as Sales Were Constrained by a Double-Digit Inventory Dip

Affordability Pressures Mount amid Rising Mortgage Rates

Seattle, WA – March 16th, 2017 (BUSINESS WIRE) U.S. home prices rose 7.2 percent in February, which marked 60 consecutive months of annual increases since home prices bottomed in early 2012, according to Redfin (www.redfin.com), the next-generation real estate brokerage.

Redfin_logo

Home sales gained a modest 1.8 percent, constrained by a continuing inventory shortage. The number of homes for sale fell 12.9 percent year over year in February, the third month in a row that inventory declined by double digits. Housing affordability pressures are increasing, especially for first-time buyers, amidst continuously increasing prices and the Federal Reserve’s recent announcement of an interest rate hike. However, rising prices may lead more homeowners to list their homes this spring.

“The total level of home equity reached a new peak at the close of 2016, according to recent Fed data,” said Redfin chief economist Nela Richardson. “While great for homeowners, continuously strong price growth across the U.S. since 2012 has posed significant challenges for first-time buyers, especially given such low supply in affordable price-tiers. There is a silver lining on the horizon, however. Rising prices and increased equity may tip the scales for homeowners who have been delaying their decision to move up, which could add much-needed starter-home inventory to the market.”

Despite affordability concerns and low inventory, February still proved to be a strong month for buyer demand. Market speed increased again, making for the fastest February Redfin recorded since 2010. The typical home that sold last month went under contract in 60 days, eight days faster than one year prior. Nearly 15 percent of all homes listed for sale in February were off the market within two weeks, up from 11.7 percent last year.

Regional February Highlights

Competition

  • Seattle, WA was the fastest market, with nearly half of all homes pending sale in just 12 days, down from 13 days from a year earlier. Oakland, CA and Denver, CO were the next fastest markets with 15 and 18 median days on market, followed by San Jose, CA (21) and San Francisco, CA (28).
  • Competition was fierce in San Jose, CA where 63.1% of homes sold above list price, followed by 62.0% in San Francisco, CA, 59.1% in Oakland, CA, 49.3% in Seattle, WA, and 36.3% in Tacoma, WA.

Prices

  • Portsmouth, NH had the nation’s highest price growth, rising 21.4% since last year to $285,000. Deltona, FL had the second highest growth up 20.1%, followed by Tampa, FL (18.8%), Jacksonville, FL (18.7%), and Ogden, UT (17.2%).
  • Prices dropped in four metros, including Baton Rouge, LA (-4.2%), Wilmington, DE (-2.5%), Honolulu, HI (-1%), and Pittsburgh, PA (-0.8%).

Sales

  • 17 out of 90 metros saw sales surge by double digits from last year. Charleston, SC led the nation in year-over-year sales growth, up 39.2%, followed by St. Louis, MO, up 30%. Fort Myers, FL rounded out the top three with sales up 25.2% from a year ago.
  • Albany, NY saw the largest dip in sales since last year, falling 22.5%. Home sales in Portsmouth, NH declined by 22.4% as well.

Inventory

  • Rochester, NY had the largest decrease in overall inventory, falling 42.4% since last February. Buffalo, NY (-37.8%), Seattle, WA (-35.3%), and Omaha, NE (-34.7%) also saw far fewer homes available on the market than a year ago.
  • Provo, UT had the highest increase in the number of homes for sale, up 30.7% year over year, followed by Knoxville, TN (21.6%) and New Orleans, LA (16.1%).

To read the full report, complete with data and charts, please click here.

About Redfin

Redfin (www.redfin.com) is the next-generation real estate brokerage, combining its own full-service agents with modern technology to redefine real estate in the consumer’s favor. Founded by software engineers, Redfin has the country’s #1 brokerage website and offers a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate, the automated home-value estimate with the industry’s lowest published error rate. Homebuyers and sellers enjoy a full-service, technology-powered experience from Redfin real estate agents, while saving thousands in commissions. Redfin serves more than 80 major metro areas across the U.S. The company has closed more than $40 billion in home sales through 2016.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To view Redfin’s press center, click here.

Contacts

Redfin Journalist Services:
Jeffery Marino
(206) 588-6863
press@redfin.com

Redfin: Home Prices and Sales Showed Steady Growth in January While Inventory Continued to Decline

Last Month was the Fastest January Housing Market on Record

Seattle, WA – February 16, 2017 (BUSINESS WIRE) U.S. home prices rose 7.0 percent in January and home sales gained 5.6 percent over last year, according to Redfin (www.redfin.com), the next-generation real estate brokerage.

Redfin Logo

Inventory fell 12 percent compared to last year, the largest annual drop in the number of homes for sale since April 2013. The dearth of supply was due in part to a 5.1 percent annual decline in new listings. But last month was also the fastest January on record since Redfin began tracking this measure in 2010. The typical home sold in 59 days — seven days faster than last year and two weeks faster than January 2015.

“Buyers jumped through three hurdles last month: rising prices, low inventory and a fast market,” said Redfin Chief Economist Nela Richardson. “Sellers, however, are still warming the bench as the supply picture looks weaker than demand. This was the first January in three years in which new listings fell short of the previous year.”

The national trend of strong home sales and price growth in January was driven by the country’s more affordable markets. Double-digit sales and price growth primarily occurred in metro areas with a median sale price under $300,000, such as Lakeland, Florida, Poughkeepsie, New York, and Memphis, Tennessee. The highest competition continued to take place in the tech hubs of the West Coast.

Regional January Highlights

Competition

  • Denver, CO, was the fastest market, with half of all homes pending sale in just 23 days, down from 43 days a year earlier. Seattle, WA, and Oakland, CA, were the next fastest markets, with 26 and 27 median days on market, respectively, followed by Grand Rapids, MI (29), and Fresno, CA (32).
  • Prices were most likely to escalate in San Jose, CA, where 48.8% of homes sold above list price, followed by 48.5% in Oakland, CA, 47.7% in San Francisco, CA, 37.3% in Seattle, WA, and 34.4% in Tacoma, WA.

Prices

  • Dallas-Fort Worth, TX, had the nation’s highest price growth, rising 17% since last year to $233,995. Cleveland, OH, had the second-highest growth at 15.4% year-over-year price growth, followed by Cincinnati, OH (15%), Salt Lake City, UT (14.9%), and Ogden, UT (14.3%).
  • Two metros, Baton Rouge, LA (-6.4%), and Allentown, PA (-2.8%), saw year-over-year price declines in January.

Sales

  • Thirty-three out of 90 metros saw sales surge by double digits from last year. Lakeland, FL, led the nation in year-over-year sales growth, up 28.7%, followed by Poughkeepsie, NY, up 28.0%. Memphis, TN, rounded out the top three with sales up 26.1% from a year ago.
  • Columbia, SC, saw the largest decline in sales since last year, falling 65.0%. Home sales in Grand Rapids, MI, and Buffalo, NY, declined by 14.3% and 9.9%, respectively.

Inventory

  • Buffalo, NY, had the largest decrease in overall inventory, falling 39.8% since last January. Portsmouth, NH (-35.2%), Rochester, NH (-34.7%), and Omaha, NE (-34.6%), also saw far fewer homes available on the market than a year ago.
  • Provo, UT, had the highest increase in the number of homes for sale, up 33.7% year over year, followed by San Jose, CA (17.0%), and Raleigh, NC (16.7%).

To read the full report, complete with data and charts, please visit the following link: www.redfin.com.

About Redfin Corporation

Redfin (www.redfin.com) is the next-generation real estate brokerage, combining its own full-service agents with modern technology to redefine real estate in the consumer’s favor. Founded by software engineers, Redfin has the country’s #1 brokerage website and offers a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate, the highly accurate automated home-value estimate. Homebuyers and sellers enjoy a full-service, technology-powered experience from Redfin real estate agents, while saving thousands in commissions. Redfin serves more than 80 major metro areas across the U.S. The company has closed more than $31 billion in home sales to date, and saved customers more than $335 million in fees, and counting.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center.

Contacts

Redfin Journalist Services:
Jeffery Marino
(206) 588-6863
press@redfin.com

Redfin: Home Prices Continued to Climb in December While Inventory Hit a Three-Year Low

One in three homes sold in December was under contract within two weeks – the largest portion on record since 2010

Seatlle, WA – January 19, 2017 (BUSINESS WIRE) U.S. home prices rose 4.7 percent in December as inventory declined 12.7 percent, according to Redfin (www.redfin.com), the next-generation real estate brokerage. Home sales were flat, growing just 0.5 percent from December 2015.

Redfin_logo

Despite lackluster home sales volume, the extreme shortage of homes on the market made for the fastest December on record since Redfin began keeping track in 2010. Last month, the typical home went under contract in 54 days – five days faster than a year earlier.

Among homes sold in December, nearly one-third (32.7%) went under contract within two weeks, the largest reduction in inventory in any single month Redfin has on record.

“We’ve never before seen homes turn over so quickly at a national level,” said Redfin Chief Economist Nela Richardson. “This tells us that buyers are not deterred by low inventory, election uncertainty and slightly higher mortgage rates. If anything, these headwinds are motivating them to act sooner rather than later.”

Regional Highlights from December:

  • Seattle, WA, was the fastest market, with half of all homes pending sale in just 19 days, down from 24 days a year earlier. Oakland, CA, and Denver, CO, were the next fastest markets, both posting a median of 22 days on market, followed by Grand Rapids, MI (23), and Boston, MA (26).
  • Seattle also had the nation’s highest price growth, rising 14.8% since last December to $459,975.
  • Six metros saw price declines in December. Baton Rouge, LA, saw its home prices decline the most since last December, falling 7.7 percent to $175,370.
  • 13 out of 90 metros saw sales increase by double digits from last December. Poughkeepsie, NY, led the nation in year-over-year sales growth, up 57.9%, followed by Madison, WI, up 32.0%. Detroit, MI, rounded out the top three with sales up 30.8% from a year earlier.
  • Detroit, MI, had the largest decrease in overall inventory, falling 31.2% since December 2015. Rochester, NH (-30.7%), Portsmouth, NH (-29.4%), and Rochester, NY (-28.7%), also saw far fewer homes available on the market than in late 2015.

To read the full report, complete with data and charts, please visit the following link: www.redfin.com.

About Redfin Corporation

Redfin (www.redfin.com) is the next-generation real estate brokerage, combining its own full-service agents with modern technology to redefine real estate in the consumer’s favor. Founded by software engineers, Redfin has the country’s #1 brokerage website and offers a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate, the highly accurate automated home-value estimate. Homebuyers and sellers enjoy a full-service, technology-powered experience from Redfin real estate agents, while saving thousands in commissions. Redfin serves more than 80 major metro areas across the U.S. The company has closed more than $31 billion in home sales to date, and saved customers more than $335 million in fees, and counting.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center.

Contacts:

Redfin Journalist Services:
Jeffery Marino
(206) 588-6863
press@redfin.com

First-Time Homebuyers Face Worsening Starter-Home Shortage Heading Into 2017 Reports Trulia

House Hunters in Portland, Miami, San Francisco, Sacramento, Los Angeles and Denver Among the Hardest Hit as Tight Starter Home Inventory Becomes More Unaffordable

San Francisco, CA – Dec. 14, 2016 (PRNewswire) Trulia®, a leading destination for homebuyers and renters, today released the findings from the Trulia Inventory and Price Watch. This quarter’s report found that the number of homes for the average first-time homebuyer saw its steepest year-over-year drop in three years, falling 12.1% since 2015. Moreover, these buyers will need to pay 1.9% more of their income on average to buy a starter-home in their local market.

trulia-logo

U.S. Housing Inventory Shrinks 9.1% Year-Over-Year

Nationally, housing inventory fell for the sixth consecutive quarter, dropping 9.1% from a year ago. Across different housing segments, home buyers saw the biggest decreases in starter and trade-up home inventory. The number of starter homes and trade-up homes on the market dropped 12.1% and 12.9% from this time last year, respectively. Meanwhile, premium home inventory fell a more moderate 5.6%.

table-1

Harder to Get Started for First-Time Home Buyers

Declines in the affordability of starter homes continues to plague first-time home buyers. Today, the average starter-home buyer will need to spend 38.5% of their monthly income to buy a starter home – a 1.9 percentage point increase from last year. This decline in affordability is more than twice as much for trade-up homes (up 0.9 percentage points) and nearly four times the amount needed to buy a premium home (up 0.5 percentage points). Comparatively, buyers of trade-up homes and premium homes would each need to spend just 25.5% and 13.9% of their income to buy a home, respectively.

First-time homebuyers face worsening starter-home shortage heading into 2017 as starter-home inventory falls nationally by 12.1% year-over-year.

First-time homebuyers face worsening starter-home shortage heading into 2017 as starter-home inventory falls nationally by 12.1% year-over-year.

Starter Home Crunch Squeezes Coastal Markets

In many coastal housing markets, affordability has eroded significantly over the last year, especially in Tacoma, Wash. and Portland, Ore. But in Sacramento, Calif., Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego and Miami, starter home unaffordability continues to be a persistent problem. Among the 100 largest U.S. metros, these metros ranked in the top 10 annual declines in affordability for starter homes from 2012 to 2015 and remain in the top 10 for declines in affordability for starter homes from 2015 to 2016.

table-2

QUOTES FROM TRULIA’S CHIEF ECONOMIST RALPH MCLAUGHLIN:

  • “Tight inventory will still be a big obstacle to homeownership in many markets in 2017, but I’m cautiously optimistic that we’ll see the bottom of the current housing shortage as the year progresses. That said, buyers might not see price relief if President-Elect Trump’s to-be-seen policies boost demand without boosting supply.”
  • “As mortgage rates continue to trend upwards, homebuyers in the costly coastal housing markets in California and the Northeast may get some relief. Rising rates will likely cool the fierce competition in these markets where inventory has been tightening and affordability has worsened.”

About the Trulia Inventory and Price Watch

The Trulia Inventory and Price Watch offers buyers and sellers deeper insight into the change in supply and affordability of homes over the past year, within three different segments of the market: starter homes, trade-up homes, and premium homes. Based on the for-sale homes listed on Trulia, this report calculates housing inventory within each segment nationally and in the 100 largest U.S. metros, from Dec. 1, 2015 to Dec. 1, 2016. For the full report and methodology, see here.

About Trulia

Trulia® is a vibrant home shopping marketplace, focused on giving homebuyers, sellers, and renters the information they need to make better decisions. On mobile and the Web, Trulia provides house hunters with insights and unique information about properties, neighborhoods, and real estate agents. Additionally, Trulia offers data and information about schools, crimes, commute times, and the real estate market.

Launched in 2005, Trulia is based in San Francisco and is owned and operated by Zillow Group (NASDAQ: Z and ZG).

Trulia is a registered trademark of Trulia, LLC.

Media Contact:

Daisy Kong
pr@trulia.com
(415) 400-7391