RE/MAX National Housing Report for March 2023

Expected Spring Surge in Home Sales Arrives

Denver, CO – April 18, 2023 (PRNewswire) March home sales jumped 37.7% over February, signaling the start of the peak spring and summer seasons in the report’s 52 metro areas. While inventory was down 2.8% from February’s total, March inventory was 56.4% higher year over year – due in part to the combination of pending sales and closings being down, leaving homes on the market longer than they were a year ago. The median sales price of $396,000 in March was down 2.0% year over year.

“Compared to last year, there’s a lot to like about this housing market, including lower prices and less competition for available listings. Although it would be good to see more new listings coming onto the market, the current conditions offer potential for home buyers and sellers alike,” says RE/MAX President and CEO Nick Bailey. “For those interested in selling, demand for properties remains high and for buyers entering the market, this spring can be a prime time to make a move.”

RE/MAX agent Keely McNeal of RE/MAX Legends in Buford, Georgia, says buyers are looking beyond interest rates and seeing prices that intrigue them. “We’re seeing an influx of buyers entering the market, ready to take advantage. Consumers on both sides of the transaction should work with a local market expert who understands how pricing can be a key differentiator.”

Other notable metrics:

  • While down year over year, the median sales price ticked up 3.4% from February’s $383,500, which is in line with last year when home prices rose 4.7% (from $387,000 to $405,000) from February to March.
  • Months’ Supply of Inventory in March was 1.4, down from 1.7 months in February but well above the 0.8 of last March.
  • March’s average close-to-list price ratio was 99%, meaning that on average, homes sold for 1% less than the asking price. A year ago, it was 102%.
  • Homes sold in March were on the market for an average of 40 days – six days less than February but two weeks longer than a year ago.

Highlights and local market metrics for March include:

Closed Transactions 
Of the 52 metro areas surveyed in March 2023, the overall number of home sales is up 37.7% compared to February 2023, and down 21.8% compared to March 2022. The markets with the biggest decrease in year-over-year sales percentage were San Francisco, CA at -37.8%, Portland, OR at -36.0%, and Los Angeles, CA at -31.5%. No metro area had a year-over-year sales percentage increase in March.

Closed Transactions:
5 Markets with the Biggest YoY Decrease
MarketMar 2023
Transactions
Mar 2022
Transactions
Year-over-Year
% Change
San Francisco, CA2,5674,125-37.8 %
Portland, OR2,2843,570-36.0 %
Los Angeles, CA6,1629,002-31.5 %
Seattle, WA3,9975,808-31.2 %
Las Vegas, NV3,0094,318-30.3 %

Median Sales Price – Median of 52 metro area prices
In March 2023, the median of all 52 metro area sales prices was $396,000, up 3.4% compared to February 2023, and down 2.0% from March 2022. The markets with the biggest year-over-year decrease in median sales price were Dallas, TX at -14.1%, Seattle, WA at -11.4%, and San Francisco, CA at -11.3%. Two metro areas increased year-over-year by double-digit percentages, Omaha, NE at +11.3% and Wichita, KS at +10.0%.

Median Sales Price:
5 Markets with the Biggest YoY Decrease
MarketMar 2023
Median Sales Price
Mar 2022
Median Sales Price
Year-over-Year
% Change
Dallas, TX$335,000$390,000-14.1 %
Seattle, WA$650,000$733,500-11.4 %
San Francisco, CA$1,065,000$1,200,000-11.3 %
Phoenix, AZ$420,000$462,745-9.2 %
Coeur d’Alene, ID$500,000$550,000-9.1 %

Close-to-List Price Ratio – Average of 52 metro area prices
In March 2023, the average close-to-list price ratio of all 52 metro areas in the report was 99%, up from 98% in February 2023, and down from 102% in March 2022. The close-to-list price ratio is calculated by the average value of the sales price divided by the list price for each transaction. When the number is above 100%, the home closed for more than the list price. If it’s less than 100%, the home sold for less than the list price. The metro areas with the lowest close-to-list price ratio were Dallas, TX at 93%, Miami, FL at 94%, and Coeur d’Alene, ID at 96%. The highest close-to-list price ratios were a three-way tie between Hartford, CT, Manchester, NH, and San Francisco, CA at 102%.

Close-to-List Price Ratio:
5 Markets with the Biggest YoY Decrease
MarketMar 2023
Close-to-List
Price Ratio
Mar 2022
Close-to-List
Price Ratio
Year-over-Year
Difference
Dallas, TX93.1 %104.3 %-11.1 pp
San Francisco, CA102.5 %113.5 %-11.0 pp
Seattle, WA99.6 %110.0 %-10.4 pp
Denver, CO99.6 %105.7 %-6.1 pp
Raleigh, NC98.9 %104.9 %-6.0 pp

Days on Market – Average of 52 metro areas
The average days on market for homes sold in March 2023 was 40, down six days from the average in February 2023 and up 14 days from the average in March 2022. The metro areas with the lowest days on market were Baltimore, MD and Washington, DC, tied at 16. The highest days on market averages were in Fayetteville, AR at 85, San Antonio, TX at 64, and Phoenix, AZ at 58. Days on market is the number of days between when a home is first listed in an MLS and a sales contract is signed.

Days on Market:
5 Markets with the Biggest YoY Increase
MarketMar 2023
Days on Market
Mar 2022
Days on Market
Year-over-Year
% Change
Tampa, FL5214+279.4 %
Salt Lake City, UT4913+270.5 %
Orlando, FL5016+211.8 %
Denver, CO259+187.9 %
Las Vegas, NV5220+155.0 %

Months’ Supply of Inventory – Average of 52 metro areas
The number of homes for sale in March 2023 was down 2.8% from February 2023 and up 56.4% from March 2022. Based on the rate of home sales in March 2023, the months’ supply of inventory was 1.4, down from 1.7 compared to February 2023, and increased compared to 0.8 in March 2022. In March 2023, the markets with the lowest months’ supply of inventory were Seattle, WA at 0.5, followed by a tie between Albuquerque, NM and Charlotte, NC at 0.6. The markets with the highest months’ supply of inventory were a tie between Boston, MA and Bozeman, MT at 2.8, followed by Coeur d’Alene, ID at 2.6.

Months’ Supply of Inventory:
5 Markets with the Biggest YoY Increase
MarketMar 2023
Months’ Supply
of Inventory
Mar 2022
Months’ Supply
of Inventory
Year-over-Year
% Change
Raleigh, NC1.30.3+406.1 %
Coeur d’Alene, ID2.60.6+318.1 %
Boston, MA2.80.7+293.4 %
Tampa, FL1.50.5+214.2 %
Salt Lake City, UT1.30.4+206.9 %

About the RE/MAX Network
As one of the leading global real estate franchisors, RE/MAX, LLC is a subsidiary of RE/MAX Holdings (NYSE: RMAX) with more than 140,000 agents in over 9,000 offices and a presence in more than 110 countries and territories. Nobody in the world sells more real estate than RE/MAX, as measured by residential transaction sides. RE/MAX was founded in 1973 by Dave and Gail Liniger, with an innovative, entrepreneurial culture affording its agents and franchisees the flexibility to operate their businesses with great independence. RE/MAX agents have lived, worked and served in their local communities for decades, raising millions of dollars every year for Children’s Miracle Network Hospitals® and other charities. To learn more about RE/MAX, to search home listings or find an agent in your community, please visit www.remax.com. For the latest news about RE/MAX, please visit news.remax.com.

Report Details
Beginning with the April 2022 report, RE/MAX is using a new source for aggregated data.

The RE/MAX National Housing Report is distributed monthly on or about the 15th. The Report is based on MLS data for the stated month in 52 metropolitan areas, includes single-family residential property types, and is not annualized. For maximum representation, most of the largest metro areas in the country are represented, and an attempt is made to include at least one metro area in almost every state. Metro areas are defined by the Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) established by the U.S. Office of Management and Budget.

Definitions
Closed Transactions are the total number of closed residential transactions during the given month. Months Supply of Inventory is the total number of residential properties listed for sale at the end of the month (current inventory) divided by the number of sales contracts signed (pending listings) during the month. Where “pending” data is unavailable, an inferred pending status is calculated using closed transactions. Days on Market is the average number of days that pass from the time a property is listed until the property goes under contract. Median Sales Price for a metro area is the median sales price for closed transactions in that metro area.  The nationwide Median Sales Price is calculated at the nationwide aggregate level using all sale prices from the included metro areas.  The Close-to-List Price Ratio is the average value of the sales price divided by the list price for each closed transaction.

MLS data is provided by Seventy3, LLC, a RE/MAX Holdings company. While MLS data is believed to be reliable, it cannot be guaranteed. MLS data is constantly being updated, making any analysis a snapshot at a particular time. Every month, the previous period’s data is updated to ensure accuracy over time. Raw data remains the intellectual property of each local MLS organization.

SOURCE RE/MAX, LLC

First-time Homebuyers See Now as a Good Time to Buy Despite Market Uncertainty

TD’s First-Time Homebuyer Pulse reveals that more than one-third of buyers planning to purchase a home in 2023 view now as a good time to buy, despite economic conditions; rising rent costs may contribute to this growing interest

Cherry Hill, NJ – April 11, 2023 (PRNewswire) Amid cooling inflation and rising housing costs, many first-time homebuyers feel more certain about their financial situations, according to a recent study from TD Bank, America’s Most Convenient Bank®.  TD’s First-Time Homebuyer Pulse found that 54% of respondents indicate they are now better off financially than they were two years ago. And while buyers’ perception of the economy and affordability continue to draw concern, rising rent may be driving homeownership interest.

TD Bank surveyed 1,007 Americans planning to buy their first home in 2023 to learn more about their path to purchasing a home, as well as their thoughts on preparedness for the process as housing costs fluctuate nationwide.

First-Time Homebuyers Maintain Optimistic Outlook, Amid Market Concerns

Among those looking to purchase a home for the first time in 2023, 39% believe now is a good time to buy. Many who have begun their process are also showing signs of preparedness with 48% starting to save for a down payment. Additionally, more than eight in ten (85%) respondents indicated buying a home was a good long-term investment.

Though first-time buyers are looking more optimistically toward the homebuying season, reservations remain, with a majority (69%) concerned about the economy and 64% concerned about their ability to afford a home with rising interest rates.  That worry persists for six in ten respondents when considering the ability to afford a home combined with other expenses.

“Although typically overlooked when beginning the search for a home, meeting with a lender can help first-time buyers better understand the additional costs and opportunities associated with homeownership,” said Steve Kaminski, Head of U.S. Residential Lending at TD Bank. “Against the backdrop of higher rates, continued inflation, and low housing inventory, it is especially important for consumers to speak with mortgage professionals and realtors early in the process to create a well-adjusted budget and identify a comfortable price range for their homebuying search, better positioning them to compete and make an offer on the home that meets their unique goals.”

Rate hikes have also fueled some good financial habits, including the 43% of participants who cited that they have started monitoring their credit report or taken steps to improve their credit score to potentially reduce interest rates for their home loans. Additionally, 48% have established a homeownership budget for their first-time home purchase this year.

Rising Rent Costs Push Homebuying Interest

As you may expect, nearly two in five (38%) renters have considered delaying their home purchase and continuing to rent in 2023. Among them, 30% said the top reason for potentially delaying their homebuying plans is an inability to afford the home they want due to rising interest rates.

Interestingly, many have had the opposite reaction, seeing rising rent costs as a stimulus to forge ahead with purchasing a home. Of those survey participants who have not considered delaying their home purchase, 40% cited rising rent prices as the top reason prompting them to move forward with buying a home.

“Even as rates have risen in comparison to the historically low-interest rate environment many experienced in the past two years, buyers see the importance of building equity in a home purchase,” said Kaminski. “Homeownership has and continues to be a sustainable way to build intergenerational wealth, while providing the added benefit of shoring up a buyers’ financial position over the long-term.” 

Buyers Make Lemonade Out of the Big Lemon – Rising Rates

While inflation and rising rates are two factors first-time homebuyers can’t control, some are rethinking their approach to provide some flexibility in the home buying process. In fact, 59% of those looking to purchase a home this year indicate they want to pursue a fixer-upper or starter home.   

More than one-third (34%) of those who plan to buy a fixer-upper or starter home are seeking a more affordable home. More than half (52%) of those planning to buy a fixer-upper or starter home cited that current market conditions impacted their decision. 

Homebuyers aren’t just getting creative with the type of home they’re looking to purchase. They’re also coming up with long-term solutions to combat the current rate environment. More than one-fourth (27%) plan to refinance when interest rates come down.

“Depending on a buyer’s personal financial situation, how long they expect to be in the home and other risk-based considerations, there may be alternate mortgage options to consider in the near- and long-term when it comes to financing a home,” said Kaminski. “But it’s always important to talk through those options to weigh the benefits and risks with a mortgage professional early in the process.”

That sound advice continues to only motivate a small portion of first-time homebuyers, with just 22% starting the process of speaking with a mortgage lender.

Breaking through Misconceptions

While inflation, home supply and shifting rates may present challenging barriers to homeownership, there are a few misconceptions homeowners should look to avoid as they begin the process:

  • Learn about home ownership: The majority of participants (82%) agree that homeownership is important to them. It’s equally important to complete your due diligence around homeownership. Understanding what you need to know better positions you to work with realtors and lenders during the process.
  • Reconsider your down payment requirements: First-time homebuyers have a wealth of options when it comes to flexible lending needs, including down payments. Almost half of survey participants (44%) cited that saving money for the down payment was a barrier to purchasing a first home. Additionally, 81% of low-to-moderate-income (LMI) respondents ranked affordability of the down payment as one of the top three barriers they are concerned with facing during the homebuying process. Many lenders offer flexible down payment assistance programs, which allow borrowers to provide as little as 3% down when purchasing their first home. Among survey participants, more than one-third (35%) anticipate utilizing a down payment assistance program to buy their first home.
  • Talk to a lender early: True in any market, speaking with a lender can give a first-time homebuyer a snapshot of their budget, potential closing costs and which first-time homebuyer assistance programs they could be eligible for. This is especially true for low to moderate income (LMI) buyers. Among LMI respondents, more than eight in ten (82%) of respondents felt confident or neutral in their financial literacy in reference to mortgages and homebuying. Despite this confidence, almost half (46%) were unfamiliar with down payment assistance programs that allow homebuyers to put down a smaller amount of money.

Survey Methodology

This report presents the findings of a CARAVAN® survey conducted by Big Village among a sample of 1,007 U.S. adults ages 18 and older who have never owned a house and plan to buy their first home in 2023. The survey was live on February 13 – March 1, 2023.

Low- to moderate-income homebuyers are defined as respondents having household income within 50% to 80% of the median family income for their state.

About Big Village

Big Village is a global advertising, technology, and data company. Driven by our diverse group of experts, we provide a new way of working by bringing programmatic solutions, media, insights, and creative all under one roof. Big Village is headquartered in New York and has 12 offices across North America, Europe, and Australia.

About TD Bank, America’s Most Convenient Bank® 

TD Bank, America’s Most Convenient Bank, is one of the 10 largest banks in the U.S., providing more than 9.7 million customers with a full range of retail, small business and commercial banking products and services at more than 1,100 convenient locations throughout the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Metro D.C., the Carolinas and Florida. In addition, TD Bank and its subsidiaries offer customized private banking and wealth management services through TD Wealth®, and vehicle financing and dealer commercial services through TD Auto Finance. TD Bank is headquartered in Cherry Hill, N.J. To learn more, visit www.td.com/us. Find TD Bank on Facebook at www.facebook.com/TDBank and on Twitter at www.twitter.com/TDBank_US and www.twitter.com/TDNews_US

TD Bank, America’s Most Convenient Bank, is a member of TD Bank Group and a subsidiary of The Toronto-Dominion Bank of Toronto, Canada, a top 10 financial services company in North America. The Toronto-Dominion Bank trades on the New York and Toronto stock exchanges under the ticker symbol “TD”. To learn more, visit www.td.com/us

SOURCE TD Bank

2023 Changes In the Commercial Real Estate Market (Infographic)

The commercial real estate market is worth over $20T. After COVID, a lot has changed though. Plenty of cities are experiencing a rise in office vacancies with employees spending less time in the office. This infographic from Chess Realtors covers the changes in the commercial real estate market lately: