A Flood of New Home Inventory Leads to the Most Discounts Since the Financial Crisis

Rising discounts and falling prices put power in the hands of NYC buyers, according to the Q2 2018 StreetEasy Market Reports

New York, NY – July 25, 2018 (PRNewswire) Sales inventory reached new highs across the city over the last quarter, leading to a record number of homes offering price cuts in Manhattan and Brooklyn. The share of homes with a price cut rose in every submarket across the city, led by the Upper East Side(i), where one in three homes for sale received a price cut, according to the Q2 2018 StreetEasy Market Reports(ii).

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Amid higher inventory, sales prices started to cool. The StreetEasy Price Index(iii) fell 1.1 percent in Manhattan to $1,160,419 and stagnated in Brooklyn at $724,733. This drop in Manhattan home prices is the largest year-over-year decrease since the financial crisis(iv). Queens prices bucked this trend, increasing 7.3 percent to $530,556 – the highest level on record.

“The dynamics of the city’s real estate market have favored renting over buying for some time now, though the tide may be starting to turn,” says StreetEasy Senior Economist Grant Long. “New Yorkers with the means for a down payment now have more options to choose from than at any point in the past seven years — and this trend isn’t just contained at the high-end, where we’ve been seeing rising inventory for several years now. Heading into the fall, buyers are in a strong position to strike a deal and can afford to shop around, wait for the right home, and negotiate aggressively.”

See below for additional sales and rental market trends across Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens.

Q2 2018 Key Findings — Manhattan

  • Inventory reached the highest level since 2011. Sales inventory in Manhattan increased 15.2 percent since last year. Inventory rose in every Manhattan neighborhood except one: in Hamilton Heights, it dropped by 11.8 percent from last year.
  • The number of homes offering discounts reached an all-time high. More than one in four homes for sale (28 percent) in Manhattan received a price cut in Q2, an increase of 5.3 percent over last year.
  • The Upper East Side was the only submarket where prices rose. Upper East Side home prices increased 3 percent to $1,058,121. Prices dropped in every other submarket; in Midtown, they dipped to 2016 levels, falling 3.3 percent from last year to $1,206,268.
  • Rents reached an all-time high. Rents rose in all five Manhattan submarkets, led by Upper Manhattan, where they increased 3.1 percent to $2,352. Manhattan rents grew 1.5 percent year-over-year, hitting a record high of $3,212(v).
  • The number of rentals offering a discount hit its lowest levels since 2015. 20 percent of Manhattan rentals were discounted in the second quarter, a decrease of 4.6 percentage points from last year.

Q2 2018 Key Findings — Brooklyn

  • The number of homes for sale hit all-time highs. Sales inventory in the borough rose 24.4 percent over last year. Inventory rose in every Brooklyn submarket except North Brooklyn, where it fell 3.1 percent.
  • Price cuts rose to an all-time high. The share of sales with a price cut reached an all-time high of 21 percent, up 3.7 percentage points from the second quarter of 2017.
  • Prices stagnated across the borough, except for North Brooklyn. The StreetEasy Brooklyn Price Index dipped 0.5 percent to $724,733. Prices in North Brooklyn reached new highs: up 6 percent since last year to $1,172,770.
  • North Brooklyn homes came off the market two weeks faster. Homes in North Brooklyn sold after a median of 55 days — 18 days faster than last year. Across the borough, homes stayed on the market for a median of 53 days, one day longer than last year.
  • Rents reach an all-time high. The StreetEasy Brooklyn Rent Index increased 1.4 percent year-over-year to an all-time high of $2,588. North Brooklyn was the only submarket where rents stagnated, likely because of the L train shutdown, at $3,067.

Q2 2018 Key Findings — Queens

  • The amount of for-sale inventory rose. Inventory rose 19 percent across the borough, with significant increases across all five submarkets. South Queens saw the biggest jump in inventory, up 27.1 percent over the second quarter of 2017.
  • Despite rising prices, price cuts also rose. The share of Queens homes offering price cuts rose 17.4 percent, up 5.9 percentage points over last year. In Northwest Queens, more than one in four listings had their prices cut, up 11.1 percent since last year.
  • Queens was the only borough where prices rose. Prices rose 7.3 percent in Queens to $530,556, the highest level on record.
  • Homes in South Queens came off the market nearly two weeks faster. South Queens homes sold 12 days faster than last year, reaching a median of 50 days on the market.
  • Rents remained flat, except in Central Queens. The StreetEasy Queens Rent Index stagnated at $2,140. Rents in Central Queens rose 2.3 percent year-over-year, to a median of $2,083.
  • One in five rentals were discounted. 20 percent of Queens rentals offered discounts, roughly the same amount as last year. The share of discounted rentals rose the most in the Rockaways: 16.5 percent were discounted, up 6.5 percentage points year-over-year.

The complete StreetEasy Market Reports for Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens, with additional neighborhood data and graphics, can be viewed at streeteasy.com. Definitions of StreetEasy’s metrics and monthly data from each report can be downloaded at streeteasy.com.

About StreetEasy

StreetEasy is New York City’s leading local real estate marketplace on mobile and the web, providing accurate and comprehensive for-sale and for-rent listings from hundreds of real estate brokerages throughout New York City and the NYC metropolitan area. StreetEasy adds layers of proprietary data and useful search tools to help home shoppers and real estate professionals navigate the complex real estate markets within the five boroughs of New York City, as well as Northern New Jersey.

Launched in 2006, StreetEasy is based in the Flatiron neighborhood of Manhattan. StreetEasy is owned and operated by Zillow Group (NASDAQ: Z and ZG).

StreetEasy is a registered trademark of Zillow, Inc.

(i) The Upper East Side submarket includes Lenox Hill, Yorkville, Carnegie Hill, Upper Carnegie Hill and Upper East Side neighborhoods.

(ii) The StreetEasy Market Reports are a monthly overview of the Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens sales and rental markets. Every three months, a quarterly analysis is published. The report data is aggregated from public recorded sales and listings data from real estate brokerages that provide comprehensive coverage of Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens, with more than a decade of history for most metrics. The reports are compiled by the StreetEasy Research team. For more information, visit streeteasy.com. StreetEasy tracks data for all five boroughs within New York City, but currently only produces reports for Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens.

(iii) The StreetEasy Price Indices track changes in resale prices of condo, co-op, and townhouse units. Each index uses a repeat-sales method of comparing the sales prices of the same properties since January 1995 in Manhattan and January 2007 in Brooklyn and Queens. Given this methodology, each index accurately captures the change in home prices by controlling for the varying composition of homes sold in a given month. Levels of the StreetEasy Price Indices reflect average values of homes on the market. Data on the sale of homes is sourced from the New York City Department of Finance. Full methodology here: streeteasy.com.

(iv) The StreetEasy Manhattan Price Index was down 2.3 percentage points year-over-year in May 2010

(v) StreetEasy has tracked annual changes in the Manhattan Rent Index since 2011.

Manhattan Sales Inventory Rises at Fastest Pace on Record

For-sale inventory soars across New York City, while recorded sales fall by more than 25 percent

New York, NY – June 21, 2018 (PRNewswire) Home prices and sales inventory spiked in May, with inventory across the city reaching all-time highs, according to the May 2018 StreetEasy Market Reports(i). While sales inventory often peaks in May amid home-shopping season, this year set new records. Inventory in Manhattan rose 16.7 percent compared to last year, the largest year-over-year increase on StreetEasy recordii. Brooklyn and Queens saw similar surges, with inventory up 23.4 percent and 42.8 percent, respectively.

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While inventory levels rose dramatically, the number of recorded sales fell for the third consecutive month. Recorded sales dropped in every submarket across Brooklyn, Manhattan and Queens, with the largest annual dips occurring in Upper East Side, Midtown and the Rockaways. Despite the additional inventory, the StreetEasy Price Indexiii rose in all three boroughs since last year. Prices in Queens increased the most: up 9.1 percent to an all-time high of $544,587, making the median home in Queens $45,000 more expensive than a year ago.

“Sellers are betting on a wave of demand from the peak shopping season, but this summer’s market has turned out to be a crowded one,” says StreetEasy Senior Economist Grant Long. “However, prices are high and continue to rise. More affordable homes are the hardest to find, and are sure to sell quickly. But higher-end homes, particularly those joining the market from the ongoing stream of new development, will be pressured to lower prices or linger on the market. This summer is poised to offer an excellent negotiating opportunity for buyers with big budgets.”

See below for additional sales and rental market trends across Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens.

May 2018 Key Findings — Manhattan

  • Sale prices rose in all submarkets but one. The StreetEasy Manhattan Price Index increased 0.6 percent to $1,157,995. Prices rose in four of the five submarkets, led by an increase in the Upper East Side, where the median home price rose 1.9 percent to $1,038,046. Prices in Downtown Manhattan remained flat at $1,691,204.
  • Inventory rose at a record pace. Sales inventory in Manhattan rose 16.7 percent year-over-year. The Upper East Side experienced the largest increase, with inventory up 20.2 percent since last year.
  • One out of every six homes received a discount. Sixteen percent of homes for sale were discounted, an increase of 3.6 percentage points year-over-year.
  • For-sale homes spent less time on the market. Units in the borough spent a median of 55 days on the market, a three-day dip from last year. The Upper East Side and Upper West Side were the only submarkets where homes lingered longer — up 10 days and 17 days, respectively.
  • Rents rose in every Manhattan submarket. The StreetEasy Manhattan Rent Indexiv rose 1.4 percent to $3,183. Rents in Upper Manhattan rose the most — up 2.5 percent to $2,307.
  • Fewer rentals offered a discount. Sixteen percent of rentals in Manhattan were discounted in May, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points from last year.

May 2018 Key Findings — Brooklyn

  • Prices reached new highs in North Brooklyn. The StreetEasy North Brooklyn Price Index increased 11.1 percent to $1,229,838, a record high for the submarket despite the looming L train shutdown. Borough-wide, prices rose by just 1.1. percent since last year, to $720,555.
  • The number of homes with a price cut reached an all-time high. The share of sales with a price cut reached an all-time high of 12.4 percent, a rise of 3.3 percentage points from May 2017.
  • Sales inventory continued to climb, except in North Brooklyn. Sales inventory in the borough reached a record high — up 23.4 percent over last year. Inventory rose the most in South Brooklyn, which saw a 44.7 percent increase over last year. North Brooklyn was the only submarket where inventory dropped, by 6.7 percent since last year.
  • Brooklyn homes spent more time on the market. Homes stayed on the market for a median of 53 days in the borough, 6 more days than last year. North Brooklyn homes are coming off the market after an average of 43 days — 26 days faster than last year.
  • Rents rose in all submarkets except North Brooklyn. The StreetEasy Brooklyn Rent Index increased 1.4 percent year-over-year to $2,562. South Brooklyn experienced the largest spike: up 2.6 percent to a median rent of $1,885. North Brooklyn was the only submarket where rents stagnated, likely because of the L train shutdown starting in April 2019. Rents in the submarket remained flat at $3,062.

May 2018 Key Findings — Queens

  • Price cuts rose to an all-time high. The share of homes with a price cut reached a new high in Queens at 11.1 percent, an increase of 3.5 percentage points over last year.
  • Sales inventory swelled. Queens saw the largest year-over-year increase in inventory, rising 42.8 percent. All five submarkets in the borough saw a surge in inventory.
  • Queens homes are selling slightly faster than last year. The median number of days on market for Queens homes was 56, down 2 days from last year. Homes in Northeast Queens and Northwest Queens took longer to sell than last year, with an increase of 12 days and 6 days on the market, respectively.
  • Rents remained flat. The StreetEasy Queens Rent Index held at $2,113. But rents in South Queens rose 6.9 percent year-over-year, to a median of $1,775.
  • Queens was the only borough with an increase in the share of discounted rentals. Seventeen percent of Queens rentals offered discounts: up 2.9 percentage points over last year, and the highest share of the three boroughs analyzed.

The complete StreetEasy Market Reports for Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens, with additional neighborhood data and graphics, can be viewed at streeteasy.com/blog/research/market-reports/. Definitions of StreetEasy’s metrics and monthly data from each report can be downloaded at streeteasy.com/blog/download-data/.

About StreetEasy

StreetEasy is New York City’s leading local real estate marketplace on mobile and the web, providing accurate and comprehensive for-sale and for-rent listings from hundreds of real estate brokerages throughout New York City and the NYC metropolitan area. StreetEasy adds layers of proprietary data and useful search tools to help home shoppers and real estate professionals navigate the complex real estate markets within the five boroughs of New York City, as well as Northern New Jersey.

Launched in 2006, StreetEasy is based in the Flatiron neighborhood of Manhattan. StreetEasy is owned and operated by Zillow Group (NASDAQ: Z and ZG).

StreetEasy is a registered trademark of Zillow, Inc.

(i) The StreetEasy Market Reports are a monthly overview of the Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens sales and rental markets. Every three months, a quarterly analysis is published. The report data is aggregated from public recorded sales and listings data from real estate brokerages that provide comprehensive coverage of Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens with more than a decade of history for most metrics. The reports are compiled by the StreetEasy Research team. For more information, visit https://streeteasy.com/blog/research/market-reports/. StreetEasy tracks data for all five boroughs within New York City, but currently only produces reports for Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens.

(ii) Sales inventory is the number of sales listings available on StreetEasy at any point during the month

(iii) The StreetEasy Price Indices track changes in resale prices of condo, co-op, and townhouse units. Each index uses a repeat-sales method of comparing the sales prices of the same properties since January 1995 in Manhattan and January 2007 in Brooklyn and Queens. Given this methodology, each index accurately captures the change in home prices by controlling for the varying composition of homes sold in a given month. Levels of the StreetEasy Price Indices reflect average values of homes on the market. Data on the sale of homes is sourced from the New York City Department of Finance. Full methodology here: http://streeteasy.com/blog/methodology-price-and-rent-indices/

(iv) The StreetEasy Rent Indices utilize a similar methodology to the StreetEasy Price Indices and include only valid and verified listings from StreetEasy. By employing a repeat-rentals approach, the indices emphasize the changes in rent on individual properties and not between different sets of properties. Full methodology here: http://streeteasy.com/blog/methodology-price-and-rent-indices/

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