Realtor.com® May Rental Report: Slower Decline in Rents Indicates Inflation May Persist

Median asking rent fell -0.7% in May, with declines across all unit sizes and pockets of increases in certain Midwest and Northeast markets

Santa Clara, CA – June 11, 2024 (PRNewswire) Rents dropped in May for the tenth consecutive month, though the pace of the decline has slowed since earlier this year, suggesting potential challenges for further reductions in overall inflation, according to the Realtor.com® Rental Report released today. This could potentially complicate the Fed’s policy decisions and also underscores the need for more housing construction, particularly in some markets where a lack of rental supply is contributing to higher prices.

The median asking rent nationally for 0-2 bedroom units fell by -0.7% ($13) from May of last year to $1,732, and declined across all size categories. That’s just $24 (-1.4%) below its August 2022 peak. Median asking rents have risen by 21.5% over the past five years.

“Slowing rent growth preceded slower shelter inflation, and falling market rents – as we’ve seen in the last 10 months of Realtor.com® data – have furthered that deceleration in shelter prices,” said Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com®. “As a significant driver of overall inflation, shelter costs need to slow further and are expected to do so. However, waning market rent declines foreshadow smaller Consumer Price Index shelter declines ahead and put a question mark on whether we’ve seen enough to rein in overall inflation, complicating the Fed’s policymaking.”

CPI shelter index is “stickier”
Shelter costs have been a big driver of overall consumer cost increases. The Consumer Price Index for shelter, which includes rent of primary residence and the owners’ equivalent rent of residences, was up 5.5% year over year in April after rising 5.7% in March, and is down from a peak of 8.2% in March 2023. That government index typically lags behind market-based rent measures, like Realtor.com rent data, but recently that gap has widened, creating a “stickier” shelter index. It’s expected to drop further, but the pace of that decline has slowed since February, making it potentially more difficult for the overall inflation picture to improve. For renters, an uptick in housing construction to alleviate short supplies could help lower costs.

Rents drop in South and West, increase in Midwest and Northeast
The biggest year-over-year declines in median asking rent were seen in the South, led by Austin (-9.3%), Nashville (-8.3%) and San Antonio (-8.2%). There were also declines in the West, led by Phoenix (-4.5%), San Francisco (-4.3%) and Las Vegas (-4.1%). In other markets, strong labor markets stoked demand while the increase in supply of new units didn’t keep pace, pushing up rents. In the Midwest, rents rose in markets including Indianapolis (+4.4%), Milwaukee (+4.3%) and Minneapolis (+2.9%). In the Northeast, Pittsburgh (+2.4%) and New York (+2.2%) were among the markets showing an increase.

Rents decline across all size categories
Median rents for units of all sizes continued to fall in May. The median asking rent for studios nationwide fell by -1.9% on a year-over-year basis, to $1,449. That’s down -2.8% from the October 2022 peak but 17.3% higher than five years ago. Median rent for one-bedroom units fell -1.1%, the twelfth year-over-year decline in a row, to $1,612, which is still 20.3% higher than five years ago. And the median rent for two-bedroom units fell by -0.7%, the same rate of decline as last month, to $1,925. That was also the twelfth consecutive annual drop. Still, while two-bedroom rents were -1.4% below their August 2022 peak, they have risen by 23.3% over the past five years, a higher growth rate than seen in smaller units.

National Rental Data – May 2024

Unit SizeMedian RentRent YoYRent Change – 5 years
Overall$1,732-0.7 %21.5 %
Studio$1,449-1.9 %17.3 %
1-bed$1,612-1.1 %20.3 %
2-bed$1,925-0.7 %23.3 %

Rental Data – 50 Largest Metropolitan Areas – May 2024

MetroMedian Rent (0-2 Bedrooms)YOY (0-2 Bedrooms)
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA$1,600-5.8 %
Austin-Round Rock, TX$1,484-9.3 %
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD$1,769-5.5 %
Birmingham-Hoover, AL$1,3081.6 %
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH$2,950-1.5 %
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NYNANA
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC$1,523-5.0 %
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI$1,8390.7 %
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN$1,3671.9 %
Cleveland-Elyria, OH$1,2242.7 %
Columbus, OH$1,184-2.3 %
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX$1,485-3.7 %
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO$1,928-0.7 %
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI$1,3010.5 %
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CTNANA
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX$1,385-3.2 %
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN$1,3424.4 %
Jacksonville, FL$1,534-4.1 %
Kansas City, MO-KS$1,310-2.5 %
Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV$1,475-4.1 %
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA$2,775-2.5 %
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN$1,236-2.5 %
Memphis, TN-MS-AR$1,224-3.8 %
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL$2,393-4.4 %
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI$1,6904.3 %
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI$1,5332.9 %
Nashville-Davidson–Murfreesboro–Franklin, TN$1,517-8.3 %
New Orleans-Metairie, LANANA
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA$2,8572.2 %
Oklahoma City, OK$1,0090.0 %
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford,  FL$1,672-6.4 %
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD$1,800-0.4 %
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ$1,538-4.5 %
Pittsburgh, PA$1,4842.4 %
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA$1,7292.7 %
Providence-Warwick,RI-MANANA
Raleigh, NC$1,528-3.4 %
Richmond, VA$1,487-3.3 %
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA$2,153-1.7 %
Rochester, NYNANA
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA$1,9824.8 %
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX$1,232-8.2 %
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA$2,886-1.8 %
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA$2,779-4.3 %
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA$3,3413.7 %
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA$2,0421.0 %
St. Louis, MO-IL$1,330-1.8 %
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL$1,742-2.8 %
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC$1,5333.2 %
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria,DC-VA-MD-WV$2,2561.5 %

Methodology
Rental data as of May 2024 for studio, 1-bedroom, or 2-bedroom units advertised as for-rent on Realtor.com®. Rental units include apartments as well as private rentals (condos, townhomes, single-family homes). We use rental sources that reliably report data each month within the top 50 largest metropolitan areas. Realtor.com® began publishing regular monthly rental trends reports in October 2020 with data history stretching back to March 2019.

About Realtor.com®
Realtor.com® is an open real estate marketplace built for everyone. Realtor.com® pioneered the world of digital real estate more than 25 years ago. Today, through its website and mobile apps, Realtor.com® is a trusted guide for consumers, empowering more people to find their way home by breaking down barriers, helping them make the right connections, and creating confidence through expert insights and guidance. For professionals, Realtor.com® is a trusted partner for business growth, offering consumer connections and branding solutions that help them succeed in today’s on-demand world. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. For more information, visit Realtor.com®.

Media Contact: Sara Wiskerchen, press@realtor.com

SOURCE Realtor.com

Realtor.com® May 2024 Housing Market Update

The Realtor.com® economics team video update gives you the relevant economic and real estate information you need to know to navigate the housing market as a homebuyer, home seller, or industry professional.

In May, Chief Economist Danielle Hale examines economic and labor market indicators which are tracking in line with solid but slowing growth. She recaps the May Fed meeting and how recently higher inflation factors into the mix. Danielle notes that interest rates, including mortgage rates have eased following the Fed meeting, but highlights that inflation data will shape the trends ahead. Meanwhile, in the latest Realtor.com housing data, Danielle finds a good-news-bad-news story for shoppers.

Realtor.com® March Housing Report: Housing Market Takes a Step in a Buyer-Friendly Direction

March data shows the largest share of price reductions since 2019 with 34 out of the 50 largest metros showing an uptick in drops

Santa Clara, CA – April 4, 2024 (PRNewswire) According to the Realtor.com® March housing report, buyers are looking at an optimistic mix of increasing inventory and an uptick in price reductions going into the Spring season. In March, the percentage of homes with price reductions increased to 15.0% – the largest share in 5 years – and the total number of homes actively for sale grew by 23.5% compared to last March (but remains well below pre pandemic levels).

“Sellers are starting to warm up to the current environment, wading into the market in increasing numbers despite market mortgage rates that are likely above their existing rate, if they have a mortgage.  As a result, data shows surprisingly competitive pricing trends among sellers, especially in the lead up to this year’s Best Time to Sell, which Realtor.com® reported will be between April 14th – 20th,” said Danielle Hale, Chief Economist of Realtor.com®. “As seller optimism swells, we may see even further inventory gains later in the season that will likely create a more balanced environment for hopeful homebuyers.” 

List of the 10 Metro Areas with Largest Share of Price Reductions of Total Inventory

  1. Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla. – 27.6%
  2. Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, Ariz. – 23.0%
  3. Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, Texas – 22.3%
  4. Jacksonville, Fla. – 22.1%
  5. San Antonio-New Braunfels, Texas – 21.8%
  6. Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Fla. – 20.2%
  7. Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, Ore.-Wash. – 20.1%
  8. Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, Fla. – 19.7%
  9. Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas – 19.5%
  10. Memphis, Tenn.-Miss.-Ark. – 19.3%

Across the country, price reductions were up compared with last year. In the South it was up 3.5 percentage points, +1.0 percentage points in the Midwest, +0.5 percentage points in the Northeast, and +0.2 percentage points in the West.

Sellers Turned Out as Home Listing Activity Continued to Climb
Between January 2024 and March 2024, the inventory of homes actively for sale was at its highest level since 2020. While inventory looks to be on the upswing, it’s important to note that the market is still down 37.9% compared to pre-pandemic levels. Like in February 2024, one price range in particular has outpaced all other price categories as home inventory between $200,000 and $350,000 grew by 30.5% compared to March 2023. A few metros experienced huge gains in active inventory for sale including Tampa (+58.3%), Orlando (53.3%), and Miami (48.2%).

Median List Price is in Flux; Up from Last Month, But Not Much has Changed from Last Year
The national median list price increased from $415,500 to $424,900 between February and March 2024. But, when compared to last year, the median list price only increased by 0.2% from March 2023. In two weeks of March, the median list price even dipped below last year’s levels. Out of the 50 largest metros, 18 saw their median list price decline compared to last year including Miami (-8.4%), Oklahoma City (-8.3%), and San Francisco (-7.6%), while Los Angeles (+15.1%), Richmond (+11.8%), and Pittsburgh (+11.6%) saw the biggest increases.  As prices fluctuate, so do the requirements for financing a home. With mortgage rates hovering between 6.6% and 7% for the past three months, the cost of financing a home (assuming a 20% down payment) increased by $63 compared to last March.

March 2024 Housing Metrics – National

MetricChange over Mar 2023Change over Mar 2019
Median listing price+0.2% (to $422,700)+38.9 %
Active listings+32.5 %-37.7 %
New listings+16.5 %-17.2 %
Median days on market-2 days (to 50 days) -15  days
Share of active listings with price reductions+2.2 percentage points(to 15.0%)+0.0  percentage points

Additional details and full analysis of the market inventory levels, price reductions, fluctuations and stabilization can be found in the Realtor.com® March Monthly Housing Report.

March 2024 Housing Overview of the 50 Largest Metros, Ranked by Largest Price Reduction

Metro AreaMedian Listing PriceMedian Listing Price YoYMedian Listing Price per Sq. Ft. YoYActive Listing Count YoYNew Listing Count YoYMedian Days on MarketMedian Days on Market Y-Y (Days)Price Reduced SharePrice Reduced Share Y-Y (Percentage Points)
Tampa-St.  Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla.$419,0002.2 %3.0 %58.3 %29.3 %51027.6 %8.3 pp
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler,  Ariz.$535,0007.1 %4.1 %16.9 %9.7 %49-123.0 %-2.0 pp
Austin-Round  Rock-Georgetown, Texas$550,0000.0 %2.0 %15.8 %19.0 %40-1122.3 %-4.5 pp
Jacksonville,  Fla.$415,0003.9 %4.6 %38.6 %22.1 %47-522.1 %4.6 pp
San  Antonio-New Braunfels, Texas$340,000-1.9 %-1.4 %36.8 %16.9 %572.521.8 %3.1 pp
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford,  Fla.$439,000-0.4 %2.0 %53.3 %14.6 %54120.2 %6.2 pp
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro,  Ore.-Wash.$605,000-1.6 %2.2 %26.7 %7.7 %451.520.1 %9.7 pp
Miami-Fort  Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, Fla.$549,000-8.4 %-3.6 %48.2 %16.6 %58-219.7 %5.5 pp
Dallas-Fort  Worth-Arlington, Texas$440,000-0.5 %1.4 %38.0 %16.7 %40-5.519.5 %3.5 pp
Memphis,  Tenn.-Miss.-Ark.$327,0002.5 %2.3 %38.2 %16.1 %51-1.519.3 %4.8 pp
Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro-Franklin,  Tenn.$559,0006.0 %6.9 %9.3 %3.6 %32-318.8 %0.6 pp
New  Orleans-Metairie, La.$329,000-0.3 %-0.5 %27.7 %-4.8 %67917.8 %-0.6 pp
Oklahoma  City, Okla.$321,000-8.3 %-1.5 %22.9 %17.4 %45-5.517.2 %5.2 pp
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood,  Colo.$620,000-5.4 %2.6 %48.1 %19.4 %303.2517.2 %4.1 pp
Houston-The  Woodlands-Sugar Land, Texas$363,0000.7 %1.3 %23.5 %20.1 %43-3.516.7 %2.4 pp
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia,  N.C.-S.C.$410,0002.1 %5.8 %19.9 %1.2 %38-3.516.5 %4.1 pp
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson,  Ind.$330,0005.5 %5.8 %23.5 %8.3 %42-4.2516.2 %2.6 pp
Atlanta-Sandy  Springs-Alpharetta, Ga.$410,0000.0 %4.0 %22.1 %11.9 %41-515.7 %2.6 pp
Columbus,  Ohio$380,0000.8 %6.8 %20.2 %9.7 %29-0.514.2 %2.0 pp
Las  Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, Nev.$470,0004.4 %5.8 %-33.1 %8.4 %38-1513.7 %-6.4 pp
Louisville/Jefferson  County, Ky.-Ind.$315,0002.3 %3.6 %14.5 %5.9 %40413.6 %0.6 pp
Virginia  Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, Va.-N.C.$391,0004.8 %6.4 %14.3 %2.2 %34-413.2 %2.3 pp
Birmingham-Hoover,  Ala.$290,0004.0 %5.3 %27.6 %12.6 %50-113.1 %-0.1 pp
Riverside-San  Bernardino-Ontario, Calif.$599,0007.1 %7.1 %7.5 %15.2 %47-713.0 %0.4 pp
Pittsburgh,  Pa.$240,00011.6 %9.9 %10.8 %1.3 %55-912.9 %0.8 pp
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson,  Md.$335,000-3.8 %2.4 %11.6 %6.5 %36-711.3 %1.1 pp
Raleigh-Cary,  N.C.$450,0000.0 %5.9 %6.1 %18.1 %42-9.511.2 %-1.5 pp
Kansas  City, Mo.-Kan.$425,000-6.6 %-4.0 %8.1 %20.7 %51-19.7511.2 %2.9 pp
Cincinnati,  Ohio-Ky.-Ind.$350,000-4.7 %6.2 %28.1 %17.0 %37-111.1 %3.0 pp
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom,  Calif.$635,0001.3 %4.2 %16.9 %32.5 %36-6.511.1 %1.0 pp
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington,  Pa.-N.J.-Del.-Md.$350,0006.6 %7.2 %-1.3 %1.6 %43-6.511.0 %0.0 pp
Cleveland-Elyria,  Ohio$230,0008.4 %9.2 %0.4 %2.4 %42-1.511.0 %1.5 pp
San  Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, Calif.$998,0005.1 %11.1 %26.3 %25.9 %32-510.9 %1.2 pp
St.  Louis, Mo.-Ill.$292,0004.7 %4.8 %14.2 %4.9 %39-7.510.3 %0.8 pp
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn,  Mich.$240,0001.2 %1.7 %3.6 %4.1 %42-3.59.8 %-2.3 pp
Boston-Cambridge-Newton,  Mass.-N.H.$880,0006.9 %10.0 %0.9 %7.3 %24-49.7 %1.3 pp
Minneapolis-St.  Paul-Bloomington, Minn.-Wis.$445,000-1.4 %-0.2 %24.3 %16.8 %34-49.5 %2.3 pp
Richmond,  Va.$450,00011.8 %8.7 %8.8 %-9.4 %4439.1 %1.3 pp
Los  Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, Calif.115000015.1 %8.1 %5.4 %17.8 %42-3.59.0 %-0.4 pp
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue,  Wash.$768,000-2.7 %1.4 %20.3 %19.5 %29-38.7 %-0.8 pp
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria,  DC-Va.-Md.-W. Va.$604,0000.8 %6.6 %2.2 %3.2 %31-38.7 %0.9 pp
San  Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, Calif.$999,000-7.6 %-1.2 %13.4 %21.7 %27-6.58.6 %-0.3 pp
Milwaukee-Waukesha,  Wis.$365,000-0.3 %5.2 %9.9 %12.4 %29-3.57.9 %0.7 pp
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin,  Ill.-Ind.-Wis.$375,0006.4 %7.3 %-7.7 %2.0 %33-77.8 %-1.8 pp
New  York-Newark-Jersey City, N.Y.-N.J.-Pa.$760,0008.8 %15.2 %-4.3 %2.6 %50-56.8 %-0.4 pp
Providence-Warwick,  R.I.-Mass.$500,000-2.8 %-1.7 %0.1 %12.1 %35.5-5.756.3 %0.6 pp
San  Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, Calif.1481000-0.9 %1.1 %2.2 %21.5 %22-55.8 %-1.6 pp
Buffalo-Cheektowaga,  N.Y.$270,0009.7 %9.6 %4.2 %3.7 %38-6.55.3 %-0.3 pp
Hartford-East  Hartford-Middletown, Conn.$400,000-0.7 %4.7 %6.1 %6.5 %3785.1 %0.6 pp
Rochester,  N.Y.$280,0008.7 %7.1 %-4.0 %9.0 %22-24.3 %-2.5 pp

Methodology
The Realtor.com housing report is based on data from March 2024. Listings include the active inventory of existing single-family homes and condos/townhomes/row homes/co-ops for the given level of geography on Realtor.com; new construction is excluded unless listed via an MLS that provides listing data to Realtor.com. Realtor.com data history goes back to July 2016. 50 largest U.S. metropolitan areas as defined by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB-202003).

About Realtor.com®
Realtor.com® is an open real estate marketplace built for everyone. Realtor.com® pioneered the world of digital real estate more than 25 years ago. Today, through its website and mobile apps, Realtor.com® is a trusted guide for consumers, empowering more people to find their way home by breaking down barriers, helping them make the right connections, and creating confidence through expert insights and guidance. For professionals, Realtor.com® is a trusted partner for business growth, offering consumer connections and branding solutions that help them succeed in today’s on-demand world. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. For more information, visit Realtor.com®.

Media Contact
press@move.com 

SOURCE realtor.com