Owner and Appraiser Opinions of Home Values Inch Closer To Equilibrium

– Quicken Loans’ National HPPI shows appraised values 0.53% lower than homeowners estimated in February

– Home values dipped 0.07% nationally in February, but posted a 6.37% year-over-year increase, according to the Quicken Loans HVI

Detroit, MI – March 13, 2018 (PRNewswire) The trend of home value opinions from appraisers and owners moving ever-closer together resumed in February, after taking a step back the previous month. The National Quicken Loans Home Price Perception Index (HPPI) showed appraisal values in February were an average of 0.53 percent below homeowner estimates. This is the fifth consecutive month the gap between the two values has been less than 1 percent.

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Home appraisal values were nearly flat in February, posting a 0.07 percent dip from January, according the National Quicken Loans Home Value Index (HVI). Appraisal values jumped 6.37 percent compared to February 2017, which is a smaller annual increase than in January, when values were 7.03 percent higher than the previous year.

Home Price Perception Index (HPPI)

Appraisals continue to fall short of owner expectations, however, the difference between the two data points is shrinking. The Quicken Loans HPPI reported appraiser opinions of home values were an average of 0.53 percent lower than what owners expected, at a national level. Bucking the national trend, more than three quarters of metro areas measured have appraisal values that are higher than owner estimates. The leader among them is Dallas, with appraisals an average of 2.72 percent higher than expected.

“The Home Price Perception Index is a perfect example of how localized housing is across the country,” said Bill Banfield, Quicken Loans Executive Vice President of Capital Markets. “The fact that appraisals are showing home values nearly three percent higher than expected in Dallas, but the average appraisal is lower than the owner estimates by almost 2 percent in Philadelphia, illustrates this to a tee. Dallas is an incredibly hot housing market right now and appraisers are seeing just how fast home values are climbing. When shopping for a home, or even refinancing a current mortgage, consumers should always keep the changes in their local market in mind before estimating a home’s value.”

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Home Value Index (HVI)

The Quicken Loans HVI reported that annual home equity continued its ascent in February, but the pace slowed slightly. Appraisal values increased 6.37 percent compared to February 2017, despite a monthly decrease of just 0.07 percent. The West was the only region with a monthly drop in home values, showing a 1.87 percent decrease from January to February. On the other hand, the Midwest had the largest gain in year-over-year home value growth, showing a 7.23 percent jump from February 2017.

“With little movement in the HVI data from January to February, it’s clear the same narrative from the beginning of the year remains,” said Banfield. “Low home inventory continues to be a drag on the housing market. As the economy grows and more consumers are in the right place financially to purchase a home, the high demand is driving prices up. As we move into the spring selling season, all eyes will be on whether today’s strong economy can support the higher prices.”

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About the HPPI & HVI

The Quicken Loans HPPI represents the difference between appraisers’ and homeowners’ opinions of home values. The index compares the estimate that the homeowner supplies on a refinance mortgage application to the appraisal that is performed later in the mortgage process. This is an unprecedented report that gives a never-before-seen analysis of how homeowners are viewing the housing market. The HPPI national composite is determined by analyzing appraisal and homeowner estimates throughout the entire country, including data points from both inside and outside the metro areas specifically called out in the above report.

The Quicken Loans HVI is the only view of home value trends based solely on appraisal data from home purchases and mortgage refinances. This produces a wide data set and is focused on appraisals, one of the most important pieces of information to the mortgage process.

The HPPI and HVI are released on the second Tuesday of every month. Both of the reports are created with Quicken Loans’ propriety mortgage data from the 50-state lenders’ mortgage activity across all 3,000+ counties. The indexes are examined nationally, in four geographic regions and the HPPI is reported for 27 major metropolitan areas. All indexes, along with downloadable tables and graphs can be found at QuickenLoans.com/Indexes.

About Quicken Loans

Detroit-based Quicken Loans Inc. is the nation’s largest mortgage lender. The company closed more than $400 billion of mortgage volume across all 50 states from 2013 through 2017. Quicken Loans moved its headquarters to downtown Detroit in 2010, and now more than 17,000 team members from Quicken Loans and its Family of Companies work in the city’s urban core. The company generates loan production from web centers located in Detroit, Cleveland and Scottsdale, Arizona. The company also operates a centralized loan processing facility in Detroit, as well as its San Diego-based One Reverse Mortgage unit.

Quicken Loans ranked “Highest in Customer Satisfaction for Primary Mortgage Origination” in the United States by J.D. Power for the past eight consecutive years, 2010 – 2017, and highest in customer satisfaction among all mortgage servicers the past four years, 2014 – 2017.

Quicken Loans was ranked No. 10 on FORTUNE magazine’s annual “100 Best Companies to Work For” list in 2017, and has been among the top 30 companies for the past 14 consecutive years. The company has been recognized as one of Computerworld magazine’s “100 Best Places to Work in IT” the past 13 years, ranking No. 1 for eight of the past 12 years, including 2017. The company is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Rock Holdings, Inc., the parent company of several FinTech and related businesses. Quicken Loans is also the flagship business of Dan Gilbert’s Family of Companies comprising nearly 100 affiliated businesses spanning multiple industries. For more information and company news visit QuickenLoans.com/press-room.

Buying a Home Will be More Expensive this Spring

Rising home prices and interest rates push average monthly mortgage payment up sharply

Santa Clara, CA – March 13, 2018 (PRNewswire) Rising home prices and steadily increasing interest rates have pushed the average monthly mortgage payment up nearly 13 percent nationally over the past year, further challenging home buyers this spring, according to a new analysis released today by realtor.com®, a leading online real estate destination.

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U.S. home listing prices on realtor.com® have increased 10 percent year over year; while interest rates on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage have increased 28 basis points during the same time period, increasing the monthly mortgage payment of a median price home by an additional $168 a month.

A realtor.com® analysis of the top 20 housing markets revealed monthly mortgage payments have increased dramatically in five markets, where home prices are rising faster than the national average. The monthly mortgage payment for a median priced home will increase an average of $449 in Seattle, $378 in San Francisco, $363 in Los Angeles, $242 in San Diego, $236 in Minneapolis and $213 in Atlanta. (A complete list of the top 20 markets follows.)

“Buyers can expect to see more of their paychecks go to their mortgage payments this year,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist for realtor.com®. “Tight inventory has limited options for buyers and sent home prices soaring in many markets. Now, home buyers will also have to factor in higher mortgage rates.”

“This spring’s home buyers will have to decide: do they give up some desired home features to get into that lower price range, or do they dig deeper into their wallets?” she added.

Although rising interest rates play a role, Hale said, the majority of the payment increase can be attributed to the housing market’s prolonged inventory shortage, which has pushed home prices above pre-recession levels in most markets. In the top 20 markets combined, 64 percent of the incremental payment increase is coming from a rise in prices and a shift toward more expensive homes, a dynamic that will further challenge first-time buyers.

“Despite mortgage rates still being historically low, the combination of higher prices and rising rates, will further challenge trade-up and first-time buyers, usually millennials or gen-‘X’ers. They will have to borrow more money at a higher rate to close on a home in this market,” Hale said.

Year-Over-Year Difference in Mortgage Payments for the U.S. and Top 20 Largest Markets

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About realtor.com®

Realtor.com® is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers, offering the most comprehensive source of for-sale properties, among competing national sites, and the information, tools and professional expertise to help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today helps make all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [NASDAQ: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com®.

Contact:

Lexie Puckett Holbert
lexie.puckett@move.com

Statement from NAR President Elizabeth Mendenhall Regarding S.2155, the “Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief and Consumer Protection Act”

Washington, D.C. – March 13, 2018 (nar.realtor) The U.S. Senate is considering S. 2155, the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act, and the National Association of Realtors® showed its support with a letter (link is external) to Senate leadership.

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NAR President Elizabeth Mendenhall, a sixth-generation Realtor® from Columbia, Missouri and CEO of RE/MAX Boone Realty, praised the legislation and issued the following statement:

“The Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act contains some favorable provisions for the housing industry, including expanding Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s use of alternative credit scoring models; holding Property Assessed Clean Energy, or PACE, loans more accountable; and improving access to manufactured housing, as well as easing credit through reduced regulatory burdens on smaller community banks and credit unions.”

“Realtors® believe that financial regulations needs to be balanced with appropriate consumer protections, and we believe this bill achieves that goal; we urge Congress and the administration to enact S. 2155 into law.”

The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1.2 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.