Florida Housing Market: Sales, New Listings, Median Prices Up in July 2018

Orlando, FL – Aug. 22, 2018 (PRNewswire) Florida’s housing market reported more sales, rising median prices and more new listings in July compared to a year ago, though for-sale inventory remains constrained in many markets, according to the latest housing data released by Florida Realtors®. Sales of single-family homes statewide totaled 25,488 last month, up 3.8 percent compared to July 2017.

“In a positive sign for Florida’s housing market and potential buyers, we saw a modest increase in new listings in July,” said 2018 Florida Realtors President Christine Hansen, broker-owner with Century 21 Hansen Realty in Fort Lauderdale. “New listings for existing single-family homes rose 3.1 percent compared to a year ago and new listings for condo-townhouse properties increased 2 percent from last July. Meanwhile, home sellers received more of their original asking price at the closing table. Sellers of existing single-family homes received 96.7 percent (median percentage) of their original listing price, while those selling condo-townhouse properties received 95.3 percent (median percentage).”

July was the 79th month in a row that the statewide median sales prices for both single-family homes and condo-townhouse properties rose year-over-year. The statewide median sales price for single-family existing homes was $255,000, up 6.3 percent from the previous year, according to data from Florida Realtors Research Department in partnership with local Realtor boards/associations. The statewide median price for condo-townhouse units in July was $180,000, up 5.3 percent over the year-ago figure. The median is the midpoint; half the homes sold for more, half for less.

According to the National Association of Realtors® (NAR), the national median sales price for existing single-family homes in June 2018 was $279,300, up 5.2 percent from the previous year; the national median existing condo price was $258,100. In California, the statewide median sales price for single-family existing homes in June was $602,760; in Massachusetts, it was $430,000; in Maryland, it was $313,254; and in New York, it was $280,000.

Looking at Florida’s condo-townhouse market, statewide closed sales totaled 10,032 last month, up 8.5 percent compared to a year ago. Closed sales data reflected dwindling short sales and foreclosures in July: Short sales for condo-townhouse properties dropped 33 percent and foreclosures fell 26.5 percent year-to-year; while short sales for single-family homes declined 41.6 percent and foreclosures fell 38.3 percent year-to-year. Closed sales may occur from 30- to 90-plus days after sales contracts are written.

“We are continuing to see signs that the low-inventory situation impacting the single-family home market has finally stopped getting worse, though it remains constrained,” said Florida Realtors Chief Economist Dr. Brad O’Connor. “As of the end of July, there were 3.9-months’ supply of single-family inventory in Florida, marking the third straight month where there was no year-over-year change in this metric. We’re still squarely in seller’s market territory, though, and we’re going to need new single-family construction to ramp up even more.

“Half of Florida’s 4.3 million millennials are now in their thirties, and while their employment opportunities have improved drastically in recent years, the state’s housing shortage is locking them out of their best opportunity to build lasting wealth during their prime working years. In the short run, their best bet may be to consider ownership of a multifamily unit like a condo or townhouse, where inventory levels are not nearly as tight in most areas around the state. Statewide, there’s currently a 5.3-months’ supply in the condo-townhouse category, indicating a much more balanced market than what we have with single-family homes.”

According to Freddie Mac, the interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.53 percent in July 2018, up from the 3.97 percent averaged during the same month a year earlier.

To see the full statewide housing activity reports, go to Florida Realtors Media Center at http://media.floridarealtors.org/ and look under Latest Releases, or download the July 2018 data report PDFs under Market Data at: http://media.floridarealtors.org/market-data.

Florida Realtors® serves as the voice for real estate in Florida. It provides programs, services, continuing education, research and legislative representation to its 180,000 members in 54 boards/associations. Florida Realtors® Media Center website is available at http://media.floridarealtors.org.

U.S. Housing Market Outlook Hits Lowest Point Since the Housing Bust Ended

Economists say deteriorating affordability weighing on market growth

Columbus, OH – June 18, 2018 (PRNewswire) Recent data from Nationwide’s Health of Housing Markets Report (HoHM Report) show a further worsening of housing market sustainability. For the first time since 2010, Nationwide’s proprietary Leading Index of Healthy Housing Markets (LIHHM) does not forecast a positive outlook for the housing sector.

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LIHHM is unusual among housing market reports because it is a forward-looking measure of housing market sustainability. The dip into neutral territory hinges largely on deteriorating housing affordability as well as a sluggish pace of household growth.

“Housing affordability concerns have been building within the housing market for several years,” said David Berson, Nationwide senior vice president and chief economist. “For the first time since the recovery started, our affordability measures deteriorated enough to drop the national market outlook out of positive and into neutral territory.”

Natural disasters in 2017 also played a role in lowering the market outlook to neutral. Damaged homes and displaced households raised mortgage delinquency rates in several MSAs in Florida and Texas.

“The silver lining to this unfortunate story is that this should be a temporary downturn in the impacted coastal areas of Florida and Texas,” Berson said. “We should see delinquency rates normalize in coming quarters, which will help to boost the national outlook, perhaps back into positive territory.”

On the upside, job growth and rising wages have kept demand for housing robust despite rising affordability concerns. Moreover, aside from the localized hurricane impacts, serious delinquency rates remain low and suggest a healthy consumer balance sheet for mortgage debt.

Healthy regional markets continue

Despite a neutral outlook on the national housing market, Berson says that most metro areas across the country are healthy.

“Job growth and incomes remain strong across the country, helping to maintain healthy markets on a regional level,” Berson said. “We did, however, see an uptick in the number of local housing markets that slipped from positive to neutral, but that was expected given sustained rapid price increases in those areas.

“Next quarter’s HoHM Report will be an interesting barometer of which direction the market is heading, both on a national and regional scale.”

The top 10 metro areas in the index, in order, are: Casper, Wyo.; Farmington, N.M.; Alexandria, La.; Canton-Massillon, Ohio; Springfield, Ohio; Cedar Rapids, Iowa; Montgomery Co., Pa.; Trenton, N.J.; Killeen-Temple, Texas; and, Lawrence, Kan.

The bottom 10 are: Bismarck, N.D.; Victoria, Texas; Anchorage, Alaska; Lewiston, Idaho-Wash.; Corpus Christi, Texas; Billings, Mont.; Pueblo, Colo.; San Jose-Santa Clara, Calif.; Kennewick-Richland, Wash.; and, Nassau/Suffolk Co., N.Y.

More information about the HoHM Report, including the methodology used, can be found at blog.nationwide.com/housing. The HoHM Report is released on a quarterly basis online and in print.

About Nationwide

Nationwide, a Fortune 100 company based in Columbus, Ohio, is one of the largest and strongest diversified insurance and financial services organizations in the U.S. and is rated A+ by both A.M. Best and Standard & Poor’s. The company provides a full range of insurance and financial services, including auto, commercial, homeowners, farm and life insurance; public and private sector retirement plans, annuities and mutual funds; banking and mortgages; excess & surplus, specialty and surety; pet, motorcycle and boat insurance. For more information, visit www.nationwide.com.

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Contact:

Ryan Ankrom
(614) 249-5145
ryan.ankrom@nationwide.com

Jordan Fisher
(312) 240-2951
jordan.fisher@edelman.com