Homebuyers are Leaving the Bay Area at Half the Pandemic-Era Rate

Far fewer homebuyers are leaving the Bay Area as life returns to pre-pandemic norms, with many tech companies requiring in-person work and the novelty of less expensive inland areas fading

Seattle, WA – January 30, 2024 (BUSINESS WIRE) (NASDAQ: RDFN) The Bay Area had a net outflow of 26,000 homebuyers in the fourth quarter, down 13% year over year, according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. The analysis of home search activity on Redfin.com found the flow of homebuyers looking to move away from the Bay Area was down nearly 50% from its September 2021 peak during the pandemic-driven remote work boom.

“If San Francisco could talk, it would quote Mark Twain: ‘The reports of my death are greatly exaggerated,’” said Ali Mafi, a San Francisco Redfin Premier agent. “The news says it’s a ghost town, but restaurant reservations at foodie hotspots are impossible to get, and Dolores Park is packed on the weekend with residents and tourists. With the big boom in AI and many tech companies requiring in-person work, San Francisco is as alive as ever. Homes are getting multiple offers, and I see the market getting more competitive as the year goes on.”

Bay Area drops to second on list of places homebuyers are leaving

The Bay Area ranked second to Los Angeles on the list of metros homebuyers looked to leave in the fourth quarter. That marks the first quarter in over two years the Bay Area has dropped out of the number-one spot. This is determined by net outflow, a measure of how many more homebuyers are looking to leave a metro than move in.

The Bay Area’s slowing net outflow is due partly to local residents staying put. At the height of the pandemic, many homebuyers–especially remote tech workers–moved away in favor of more affordable inland areas like Sacramento and Austin, TX where they could get more bang for their buck. That’s not happening as much anymore, largely because major tech companies like Apple, Google and Meta are requiring workers to be in the office. The flow of homebuyers moving from the Bay Area to both Sacramento and Austin fell about 25% year over year in the fourth quarter.

Additionally, home prices have come down slightly, perhaps helping some people afford to buy in the area: The median sale price in San Francisco is still nearly $1.3 million, but that’s near its lowest level since early 2019.

To view the full report and methodology, visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-san-francisco-migration-Q4-2023.

About Redfin

Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered real estate company. We help people find a place to live with brokerage, rentals, lending, title insurance, and renovations services. We also run the country’s #1 real estate brokerage site. Our home-buying customers see homes first with same day tours, and our lending and title services help them close quickly. Customers selling a home in certain markets can have our renovations crew fix up their home to sell for top dollar. Our rentals business empowers millions nationwide to find apartments and houses for rent. Customers who buy and sell with Redfin pay a 1% listing fee, subject to minimums, less than half of what brokerages commonly charge. Since launching in 2006, we’ve saved customers more than $1.5 billion in commissions. We serve more than 100 markets across the U.S. and Canada and employ over 4,000 people.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin’s press release distribution list, email press@redfin.com. To view Redfin’s press center, click here.

Contacts

Redfin Journalist Services:
Alina Ptaszynski
206-588-6863
press@redfin.com

Bay Area Homebuyers Seek Out Oakland and Suburban Areas as Remote Work Grows, Redfin Analysis Finds

Pending sales are recovering more quickly in Oakland than San Francisco; Oakland home prices continued to rise in early May, as San Francisco saw home price declines

Seattle, WA – May 22, 2020 (PRNewswire) (NASDAQ: RDFN) — The housing market in Oakland and suburban parts of the Bay Area is recovering at a faster rate than in San Francisco or San Jose, according to a new analysis from Redfin (www.redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. While pending home sales and the number of new listings have begun to pick up throughout the Bay Area in early May after a drastic drop in April, homebuyer demand is strongest in Oakland, where homes tend to be larger and less expensive, with more outdoor space.

More than 72% of Redfin.com users inside the city of San Francisco searched for homes outside the city in April 2020, up from 67.8% a year earlier. The increase came while companies such as Menlo Park-based Facebook and San Francisco-based Twitter were under shelter-in-place orders, even prior to announcing permanent work-from-home policies.

“The trend toward the suburbs will grow stronger and stronger as the pandemic continues and work-from-home culture becomes more entrenched. Places like Oakland are capturing people who are leaving San Francisco and San Jose because if employees are able to work remotely three or four days a week, a longer commute is well worth the trade for more space,” said Redfin lead economist Taylor Marr. “Homebuyer interest is already shifting towards larger single-family homes with bigger yards. As a result, we expect prices to grow faster in the suburbs. That’s likely to be especially true in the Bay Area, where homes in Oakland, Berkeley, Walnut Creek and farther-flung suburbs are expensive, but prices aren’t as sky-high as San Francisco.”

Home prices in Oakland rose 3.4% to $787,000 in the month ending May 11. Meanwhile in San Francisco, home prices declined 3.2% year over year to $1,496,000 in the four weeks ending on May 11. It was the only one of the 85 largest metros Redfin tracks to experience a year-over-year price decline in April.

Pending sales are recovering more quickly in Oakland than San Francisco, down 41.6% in Oakland in the first half of May, versus a 55.1% drop in San Francisco. That’s after pending sales plummeted more than 60% year over year in San Francisco, San Jose and Oakland in April.

New listings in Oakland were down 39.2% year over year in the first half of May. That’s up from April, but still makes for a tighter housing supply than in San Francisco, where new listings were down 29.7% year over year in the first half of May.

“Move-in ready houses in Oakland are selling in five to 10 days with multiple offers. There are fewer homes on the market, but almost as many people searching as there were pre-pandemic,” said Oakland Redfin agent Katy Polvorosa. “One of my clients started looking at homes close to the city, but ended up buying further east, near Walnut Creek, where they could afford a bigger house. Nowadays, buyers want offices where they can work from home, they want to be able to talk on the phone in different rooms, they want space, and they want yards where the kids can play.”

Bay Area market summary: Four weeks ending May 11, 2020
San FranciscoSan JoseOakland
Median sale price$1,496,000$1,287,000$787,000
Median sale price YoY-3.2%0.7%3.4%
Homes sold YoY-58.2%-48.5%-49.5%
Pending sales (Four weeks ending May 17)-55.1%-45.1%-41.6%
New listings YoY (Four weeks ending May 17)-29.7%-44.2%-39.2%
All homes for sale YoY (Four weeks ending May 17)-7.6%-31.5%-27.2%
Median days on market25.121.631.2
Median days on market YoY+4.6+1.1+5.3

To read the full report, visit: https://www.redfin.com/blog/remote-working-bay-area-homebuyers-look-to-oakland-other-suburbs

About Redfin
Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered real estate brokerage, combining its own full-service agents with modern technology to redefine real estate in the consumer’s favor. Founded by software engineers, Redfin has the country’s #1 brokerage website and offers a host of online tools to consumers, including theRedfin Estimate, the automated home-value estimate with the industry’s lowest published error rate for listed homes. Homebuyers and sellers enjoy a full-service, technology-powered experience from Redfin real estate agents, while saving thousands in commissions. Redfin serves more than 90 major metro areas across the U.S. and Canada. The company has helped customers buy or sell homes worth more than $115 billion.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin’s press release distribution list, email press@redfin.com. To view Redfin’s press center, click here.

SOURCE Redfin