Home Value Forecast: How Schools Impact Home Prices

New Report Explores Correlation Between School Quality and Home Prices

Waltham, MA – May 30, 2018 (PRNewswire) This month’s Pro Teck Valuation Services Home Value Forecast explores the impact school reputation has on home prices — particularly whether a homebuyer can expect to pay more for a similar home in an area with a good school system.

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“One of the biggest reasons people move, in addition to job opportunities and needing more/less space, is because they want a better education for their children,” said Tom O’Grady, CEO of Pro Teck. “But a better education means a certain type of school, and a certain type of school may end up meaning a pricier home.”

To truly see the impact schools have on home prices, Home Value Forecast took a look at neighborhoods split by school systems to see how much school quality impacts residential home prices and how stable those premiums are over time.

For example, HVF looked at a two similar homes in a neighborhood in Cincinnati. The two homes are only two miles apart from each other, but are in different school districts. One home was valued at $137 per square foot, the other at $217 — a 58% difference. The biggest driver in the price difference, according to the analysis, was the quality of education at each school.

Click here to read the entire forecast, including data and graphs that further highlight market trends discussed in this release.

About Home Value Forecast

Home Value Forecast (HVF) is brought to you by Pro Teck Valuation Services. HVF provides insight into the current and future state of the U.S. housing market and delivers 14 market snapshot graphs from the top 30 CBSAs.

Reporters interested in national, regional or metro level housing data tailored to meet story needs, please email your inquiry to mediarequest@protk.com.

Owner Perception of Home Values at Best Level in More Than Three Years

– Quicken Loans’ National HPPI shows appraised values 0.33% lower than homeowners estimated in April

– Home values dipped 0.05% nationally in April, but posted a 6.47% year-over-year increase, according to the Quicken Loans HVI

Detroit, MI – May 8, 2018 (PRNewswire) Home appraisals are more likely be in line with, or even higher than, owners estimate. In April, appraised values were only 0.33 percent lower than what homeowners expected, according to the National Quicken Loans Home Price Perception Index (HPPI). The positive trend is apparent at the local level as well. Only five of the 27 metro areas observed in the HPPI reported appraisals lower than what owners estimated.

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While they are more in line with what owners expected, home values are continuing their ascent over last year’s level. The National Quicken Loans Home Value Index (HVI) reported a healthy 6.47 percent year-over-year increase, despite near stagnant monthly change, with a 0.05 percent dip in home values since March.

Home Price Perception Index (HPPI)

Homeowners are less likely to get a rude awakening when going through mortgage process. When viewed at a national level, the HPPI shows appraisers’ opinions of home value is an average of 0.33 percent lower than homeowners’ estimates. This is a move closer to equilibrium and the closest the national appraiser and owner opinions have been in more than three years. Homeowner opinions are also improving when viewed locally. Less than 20 percent of the areas measured have appraisal values lower than estimated. San Jose is leading the way with the average appraisal 2.75 percent higher than expected and Chicago is trailing all cities with appraisals an average of 1.68 percent lower than estimated.

“The appraisal is one of the most important, although sometimes least predictable, parts of the mortgage process,” said Bill Banfield, Quicken Loans Executive Vice President of Capital Markets. “The Home Price Perception Index is a way to illustrate the differences of opinion, and these differences affect everything from the type of mortgage a borrower can get to the expectations a seller has about the proceeds available upon sale of their home.”

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Home Value Index (HVI)

The Quicken Loans HVI, the only measurement of home value changes based solely on appraisal data, showed annual growth in the national index, increasing 6.47 percent from this time last year. Monthly changes were more tempered, with the national index dipping 0.05 percent. The national index was pulled into the negative by the Northeast, the only region showing a decrease in home value at a 1.24 percent decline. The Northeast was still the lowest when reviewing annual changes however all regions were positive – ranging from the Northeast’s 2.22 percent growth to the 9.44 percent jump in the West.

“The skyrocketing home values in the West is a trend with no end in sight. Until home building pace picks up, in combination with more existing homes being listed for sale, affordability will continue to wane,” Banfield said. “The other regions of the country are showing annual price gains as well but at a more moderate pace. Time will tell if the slightly higher interest rates in 2018 start to slow demand or if the inventory shortage ends up being a larger contributor to price changes.”

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*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions.

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*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions.

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*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions.

About the HPPI & HVI

The Quicken Loans HPPI represents the difference between appraisers’ and homeowners’ opinions of home values. The index compares the estimate that the homeowner supplies on a refinance mortgage application to the appraisal that is performed later in the mortgage process. This is an unprecedented report that gives a never-before-seen analysis of how homeowners are viewing the housing market. The HPPI national composite is determined by analyzing appraisal and homeowner estimates throughout the entire country, including data points from both inside and outside the metro areas specifically called out in the above report.

The Quicken Loans HVI is the only view of home value trends based solely on appraisal data from home purchases and mortgage refinances. This produces a wide data set and is focused on appraisals, one of the most important pieces of information to the mortgage process.

The HPPI and HVI are released on the second Tuesday of every month. Both of the reports are created with Quicken Loans’ propriety mortgage data from the 50-state lenders’ mortgage activity across all 3,000+ counties. The indexes are examined nationally, in four geographic regions and the HPPI is reported for 27 major metropolitan areas. All indexes, along with downloadable tables and graphs can be found at QuickenLoans.com/Indexes.

About Quicken Loans

Detroit-based Quicken Loans Inc. is the nation’s largest home mortgage lender. The company closed more than $400 billion of mortgage volume across all 50 states from 2013 through 2017. Quicken Loans moved its headquarters to downtown Detroit in 2010. Today, Quicken Loans and its Family of Companies employ more than 17,000 full-time team members in Detroit’s urban core. The company generates loan production from web centers located in Detroit, Cleveland and Phoenix. Quicken Loans also operates a centralized loan processing facility in Detroit, as well as its San Diego-based One Reverse Mortgage unit. Quicken Loans ranked highest in the country for customer satisfaction for primary mortgage origination by J.D. Power for the past eight consecutive years, 2010 – 2017, and also ranked highest in the country for customer satisfaction among all mortgage servicers the past four consecutive years, 2014 – 2017.

Quicken Loans was once again named to FORTUNE magazine’s “100 Best Companies to Work For” list in 2018 and has been included in the magazine’s top 1/3rd of companies named to the list for the past 15 consecutive years. The company was also named the #1 place to work in technology in 2017 by Computerworld magazine’s “100 Best Places to Work in IT,” a recognition it has received 8 times in the past 12 years.

Home Value Forecast: Impact of Foreclosures on Top Housing Markets

Report shows how foreclosures impact price appreciation in country’s hottest housing markets

Waltham, MA – April 24, 2018 (PRNewswire) This month’s Pro Teck Valuation Services Home Value Forecast explores the impact foreclosures have on the nation’s top housing markets.

Traditionally, foreclosures as a percentage of market sales on a healthy market will be 3-5%, anything over 10% will have a marked effect on price appreciation.

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As the hottest housing market in the U.S., according to Pro Teck’s Top Ten, Reno, NV boasts a foreclosure sales as a percent of market sales of .46%. Conversely, the 25th ranked housing market in the U.S., Columbus, OH, has a foreclosure rate of around 8.97%, much higher than Reno.

Foreclosures in both markets is having a marked, but different, effect on price appreciation in both markets — Columbus has seen a 8.57% yearly increase compared to 16.13% for Reno.

“Think of foreclosure sales as an anchor that can slow down the recovery of a market,” said Tom O’Grady, CEO of Pro Teck. “Because foreclosed properties sell for less, they can impact market sales if they become a large enough part of the housing inventory.”

Click here to read the entire forecast, including data and graphs that further highlight market trends discussed in this release.

About Home Value Forecast

Home Value Forecast (HVF) is brought to you by Pro Teck Valuation Services. HVF provides insight into the current and future state of the U.S. housing market and delivers 14 market snapshot graphs from the top 30 CBSAs.

Reporters interested in national, regional or metro level housing data tailored to meet story needs, please email your inquiry to mediarequest@protk.com.